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Coincidence? Bitcoin Struggles as Gold Has its Worst Week Since March Crash

Sun, 09/27/2020 - 21:30
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Joseph Young
Bitcoin has struggled in the past seven days, recording a 4% drop. Coincidentally, gold suffered a slump
Coincidence? Bitcoin Struggles as Gold Has its Worst Week Since March Crash
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Gold has had its worst week since the March crash, when stocks, Bitcoin, and all risk-on assets plummeted in tandem. Coincidentally, the price of BTC has also slumped, strengthening the argument that BTC is perceived as a store of value.

In the past seven days, Bitcoin fell by 4%, as the U.S. dollar surged and gold struggled. The high correlation between BTC and gold might suggest investors consider both assets within the same realm of safe-haven assets.

The 1-day chart of Bitcoin
The 1-day chart of Bitcoin. Source:

Bitcoin Shows Resilience Amid Stock Market Drought

Since September 2, the S&P 500 index has fallen by 7.89%, due to the stimulus stalemate. The resurgence of the pandemic amplified selling pressure on top of stocks, affecting other risk-on assets.

When the U.S. stock market faces technical and fundamental weakness, assets like Bitcoin and gold are vulnerable to pullbacks. 

For instance, in March, Bitcoin dropped to as low as $3,596. In the same period, the U.S. stock market fell by nearly 9% on a single day.

Despite the underperformance of U.S. equities, Bitcoin has stayed above $10,000. The top cryptocurrency has shown resilience in recent weeks, amid weakening stocks and gold momentum.

Holger Zschaepitz, a market strategist at Welt, said:

“Just to put things into perspective: #Gold fared the worst week since March’s market panic.”

Although Bitcoin has dropped slightly in the past week, based on its past performances, it has performed relatively well considering the downturn of the stock market.

Since the August peak, the price of spot gold has also dropped by more than 10%. For an asset like gold, a 10% price movement within a two-month period is considered extreme volatility.

Industry Executives Confident BTC Could Compete Against Gold

Atop the optimism around Bitcoin, the fundamentals of the blockchain network are strengthening. 

As U.Today continuously reported, the Bitcoin hashrate has consistently achieved new highs after the block reward halving.

A block reward halving typically causes the hashrate to sharply drop because it decreases miner revenues by half. It reduces the pace of BTC production as it nears its fixed supply at 21 million.

Cameron Winklevoss, the billionaire Bitcoin investor and co-founder of Gemini, said that its fixed supply buoys its long-term prospect. He said:

“Bitcoin is the first commodity in the universe where supply does not follow demand. Demand for bitcoin does not, and cannot, expand its supply. Contrast this to gold. The supply of above-ground gold expands with demand. Its supply is elastic and there’s no end in sight.”

The supply of Bitcoin versus gold
The supply of Bitcoin versus gold. Source: Cameron Winklevoss

The confluence of the increasing perception of Bitcoin as a store of value and its plateauing supply brightens the long-term outlook of BTC.

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About the author

Joseph Young is an analyst based in South Korea that has been covering finance, fintech, and cryptocurrency since 2013. He has worked with various recognized publications in both the finance and cryptocurrency industries.