The most recent unexpected Bitcoin pump launched the first cryptocurrency back in the bullish range for the market, but it was not random and there were many signs suggesting an upcoming bounce. The same signs now project a continuation of the rally.
Bitcoin futures market
The negative funding of open interest and Bitcoin futures backwardation were the two main reasons that caused such a volatile price spike of the first cryptocurrency. Both factors were showing how extremely oversold Bitcoin derivatives were.
Think market is underweight BTC
— Will Clemente (@WClementeIII) September 10, 2022
- Several weeks of open interest with negative funding and backwardation engulfed in 1 candle
- Successful test of demand in Coinbase orderbook
- BTC dominance bouncing off 2018 support
- Commodities rolling over, CPI likely lower than expected pic.twitter.com/pisef1hiND
With the appearance of buying power, we saw a light short squeeze that caused the spike above $21,000 in just a day.
Coinbase orderbook test
Coinbase is one of the biggest Bitcoin trading platforms in the world and it usually reflects the intentions of retail traders around the industry. Recently, we saw a successful test of demand in the platform's orderbook, according to Will Clemente.
With the compositions of orders leaning toward bids, we can firmly say that the market is leaning toward recovery. The same goes for the funding rates as bears used to pay bulls for opening short orders.
Dominance reversal
In the last few months, the dominance of the first cryptocurrency on the market was gradually decreasing as investors have not seen any reasons to provide inflows to Bitcoin while Ethereum provides more intrinsic value than the digital gold.
But with the update going live in just a few days and Bitcoin reaching the historical bottom of the range, it is most likely a sign of a dominance reversal that will either bring us a BTC rally or a widespread correction on the altcoin market.
At press time, Bitcoin is changing hands at $21,617 and not showing much volatility due to the weekend trading session.
Denys Serhiichuk
Tomiwabold Olajide
Gamza Khanzadaev