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Bitcoin Obituaries Keep Rising But Why Is Bitcoin Still Not Dead?

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  • Darryn Pollock
    ⭐ Features

    Bitcoin has been pronounced dead multiple times in its 10-year life; its recent fall brought about another obituary, but why is it that Bitcoin is NOT dead?

Bitcoin Obituaries Keep Rising But Why Is Bitcoin Still Not Dead?
Cover image via u.today
Contents

A popular site called 99Bitcoins keeps a close eye on the number of times that Bitcoin has been declared dead in the mainstream media. Currently, it has accrued 336 obituaries for the digital currency.

The latest drop in the price of Bitcoin, which took it from the mid-$6,000 mark down to near on $3,000, sparked fresh panic and capitulation as many believed that the cryptocurrency had had its last days.

There were concerns over its utility and usefulness, as well as the potential for a so-called death spiral in the mining of Bitcoin as many miners shut up shop. Yet, Bitcoin continues to exist, and at time of writing, has bounced back to over $4,000.

So what is it that is keeping Bitcoin alive? It has no CEO, no company headquarters, and because of its decentralised nature, has no one to drive it to keep it alive; it relies solely on those who are interested in it.

The underlying blockchain

Bitcoin, or cryptocurrencies in general, have a very special relationship to their underlying technology, blockchain. They are of course dependent on each other to operate, but they also move independently of each other in many respects.

Blockchain is advancing in a very different path to that of Bitcoin, but it was Bitcoin’s initial explosion in the mainstream financial space that made people take blockchain seriously.

Now that the cryptocurrency bubble has essentially burst, there is a lot less hype and interest in it. However, blockchain, the technology behind it all, is getting a chance to come out and shine for its technological reasons alone.

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For this reason, Bitcoin is still very much relevant. Blockchain progression is building steadily, and solidly, and because of its adoption across all centres, people still appreciate the usefulness of a digital token.

Bitcoin, as the major digital token that encapsulates all the main points of cryptocurrency and blockchain — such as decentralisation and transparency, and of course distribution — is the epitome of a functioning token economy.

Manageable mining

Another reason why Bitcoin hasn’t totally capitulated is because of its built in mining difficulty adjustment. Many people feared that Bitcoin could go under if the miners, an important part of any proof-of-work cryptocurrency, decided to abandon Bitcoin because of the increased difficulty and the loss of profitability.

Indeed, when the price dropped significantly in November, many miners did shut down and the hash rate also fell. But, because Bitcoin has a built in adjustment, the lower hash rate caused the mining difficulty to increase, and thus caused profitability to increase again, enticing miners back.

With more miners mining, there was increased health and activity on the blockchain, which leads to better interest and investment in the markets. This, in turn and in a compound way, then helps boost the price and drive more miners back in, again increasing profit and price.

Shedding the speculators

There is also a big difference between a burst speculative bubble and the death of a market. Some markets can be destroyed by the bubble pop, but in the case of Bitcoin, it is mirroring the dot com bubble because it has a similar nature.

With its underlying blockchain equitable to the internet, and the ICO hype and other factors equitable to Dot Com companies, one can see that this type of burst bubble is a chance for Bitcoin to shed its foolish speculative investors, and allow for those who are serious and successful to rebuild the market based on the important technology underneath.

Bitcoin will continue to be called dead, and erroneously so because it has only hit the mainstream in the last 18 months or so.

However, if one is to zoom out a bit, one would see that an investor who bought Bitcoin two years ago rather than, say, one year ago, would still be over 300 percent up on their investment.

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About the author

Darryn Pollock is an award winning  journalist from Durban, South Africa. He picked up Vodacom’s Regional Sports Journalist Award in 2017 while expanding his Blockchain and cryptocurrency reach.  He is a contributor to Forbes, Cointelegraph, Binary District, and of course, U.Today. Darryn’s belief is that Blockchain technology will be the driving force of the next technological wave and it is the obligation of journalists and writers to tell its emerging story with integrity and pride.

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Why China Fever on Bitcoin is Already Dropping After 1 Month of Blockchain Optimism

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  • Joseph Young
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    The so-called “China fever” on crypto like bitcoin has noticeably declined since President Xi’s speech on October 28.

Why China Fever on Bitcoin is Already Dropping After 1 Month of Blockchain Optimism
Cover image via 123rf.com
Contents

Since Chinese President Xi Jinping expressed his support for blockchain technology on October 28, the so-called “China fever” on crypto like bitcoin has noticeably declined.

The price of bitcoin fell from around $10,600 to $8,500 and cryptocurrencies that are known have Chinese development teams such as NEO, Ontology, and TRON have slightly increased over the past three weeks, but not enough to be described as a speculative mania.

Why demand for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is not on the rise

Following the newly established vision of the Chinese government to push the development of blockchain technology, expectations for strengthened momentum of the cryptocurrency market rapidly increased.

Initially, such expectations combined preceded an abrupt overnight increase in the price of bitcoin to above a key “psychological level” at $10,000, but the price fell back to “pre-Xi” levels in a relatively short period.

Global markets analyst Alex Krüger said:
“Have mainland China investors increased their demand for bitcoin? BTC volumes quickly dropped back to pre Xi news levels; online searches in China are back down to pre Xi news levels; website traffic for exchanges catering to China barely changed since the news.

The ‘Chinese tokens,’ NEO, ONT and TRX, have all done well since the aftermath of the news, while VET (a supply chain oriented blockchain) has been cruising on China news. Don't think though this is a sign of a ‘speculative fever’ of any kind.”

The analyst emphasized that prior to the statement of President Xi on the focus of China to facilitate the development and implementation of blockchain technology, the penetration of cryptocurrencies in the region was already high.

Also, most mainland Chinese cryptocurrency investors are said to have been trading digital assets through overseas markets like Hong Kong, purchasing stablecoins like Tether with the Hong Kong dollar.

Hence, it is possible that the public already anticipated the government of China to eventually reiterate its plans to encourage blockchain development with the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) consistently stating that its plans for a state-operated digital currency is in the works.

“It is without doubt that with the announcement of Libra, governments, regulators and central banks around the world have had to expedite their plans and approach to digital assets,” Dave Chapman, BC Technology Group executive director, said.

Is this the end of the Xi-effect?

Some technical analysts have suggested that the upside movement of bitcoin to $10,600 in late October may have not been primarily fueled by the optimism around China’s blockchain development initiative, and that a cascade of short liquidations amidst a build up of sell pressure caused the rally.

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About the author

Joseph Young is an analyst based in South Korea that has been covering finance, fintech, and cryptocurrency since 2013. He has worked with various recognized publications in both the finance and cryptocurrency industries.

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