Prominent mathematician, former risk manager, modern philosopher, author of bestselling non-fiction books, including “Black Swan”, Nassim Nicholas Taleb has taken to Twitter to share another of his messages with the audience.
This time he touched on the topic of inexperienced investors entering crypto with high expectations and why it continues despite manifold “opportunities” to lose money on scams, volatility, etc.
Yuri MolchanTaleb tweeted that “the inexperienced tend to be Utopian” with cryptocurrencies and “other techbeciles”. According to the scholar, it is a question of perception. As one lives through events one does not register negative factors but only see thing positively and subjectively.
However, when one looks back, one sees everything from the perspective of “survivorship bias”.
Why do the inexperienced tend to be utopian as we witness w/the crypto & other techbeciles?
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) December 10, 2022
When you consider the past, you get stuff marred w/the survivorship bias. When you live events you register all the mess & the crap that doesn't make it.
(Lond discussion in #TheBlackSwan)
A few years ago, Taleb praised crypto and Bitcoin in particular as opposed to banks. However, he then turned into a vocal crypto hater and now he often publishes tweets, slamming Bitcoin and the whole crypto space. Recently, he called Bitcoin a “tumor” that metastasized because of "Disneyland economy" in the US.
Vladislav Sopov
Arman Shirinyan
Dan Burgin