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Key Reason Why Bitcoin (BTC) Volatility Has Collapsed

Tue, 30/01/2024 - 18:24
Recent data from MarketVector reveals a significant downturn in Bitcoin market volatility.
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Key Reason Why Bitcoin (BTC) Volatility Has Collapsed
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Recent data from MarketVector has shown a significant downturn in the volatility across various sectors of the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin (BTC) leading the way. 

The 90-day annualized volatility for Bitcoin has seen a notable decline, reflecting a trend that has been observed throughout the past year.

This downtrend is being observed across the board: centralized exchanges, infrastructure applications, media, and entertainment, decentralized finance, and smart contract platforms have all reported similar reductions in their volatility measures. 

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Analysts point to the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier this month as a key factor contributing to this stabilization.

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ETFs and the stability of Bitcoin

The introduction of US Bitcoin spot exchange-traded Funds (ETFs) has been a game-changer in the crypto market, leading to a historic low in Bitcoin's 12-month volatility. 

With the ETFs expected to continue smoothing Bitcoin's price fluctuations, the market is witnessing a shift towards more stable trading conditions. 

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The annualized volatility of Bitcoin has dropped from its peak of 179% in January 2012 to just 45% in January 2024.

This newfound stability could be indicative of a trend towards long-term holding among investors (as opposed to the short-term speculative trading that has historically characterized the crypto market).

Long-term holding over speculative trading

The decrease in volatility suggests that Bitcoin is maturing as an asset class, becoming more appealing to long-term investors. 

Experts believe that as more spot Bitcoin ETFs are launched and incorporated into advisors' portfolios, a substantial amount of Bitcoin will be held in long-term investment accounts. 

This trend is expected to be a major factor in dampening market volatility since advisors generally do not engage in frequent trading.

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