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A Strong Crypto Relief Rally is Much Overdue, This Key Data Shows

Sat, 02/29/2020 - 14:46
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Joseph Young
Strong levels of support below $8,600 may signal a relief rally is imminent for bitcoin.
A Strong Crypto Relief Rally is Much Overdue, This Key Data Shows
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According to cryptocurrency trader Cantering Clark, there are strong levels of support below $8,600 that signal a relief rally is imminent.

Typically, when bitcoin sees a big movement to either the upside or the downside, it is triggered by the reaction of buyers or sellers to levels of high liquidity.

Relief rally for bitcoin is expected, but market trend remains bearish

Since February 20, the bitcoin price has corrected by around 18 percent against the USD, from $10,300 to $8,438.

After achieving a new yearly high at $10,500, which has acted as a heavy level of resistance throughout the past two years, the market saw a steep pullback.

As previously reported by UToday, traders generally expect the bitcoin price to continue a bearish market structure in the short-term.

This Bitcoin Technical Formation Makes $7,500 Likely in Short-Term: Trader

But, before the downside movement can continue, some traders have said that a relief rally is likely to take place.

“Seems like if we are able to trade back above 8600 we should get some relief. A lot of commits down into the lows and yet the price is still holding ground. From a probabilities standpoint, do you think the R:R from here favors shorts?” said Clark.

Strong support levels below $8,600 indicate a relief rally for bitcoin is likely
Cantering Clark Twitter

Bitcoin is currently stuck in a large range between $8,300 and $9,200, with no firm support levels in between the range but $8,300 and $9,200 acting as heavy support and resistance levels.

Is further downtrend inevitable at this point?

Various data from strictly regulated cryptocurrency trading platforms like Bakkt show that the volume in the bitcoin market has consistently increased as the price of BTC fell from the $10,000s to the mid-$8,000 region.

Bakkt bitcoin volume has been increasing
Bakkt Volume Bot Twitter

The rise in the volume of bitcoin amidst a strong pullback indicates that the correction is supplemented with a high level of selling pressure.

As noted by technical analyst Josh Rager, “mega” support levels for bitcoin is present at $7,900, an area with significant trading activity.

“Mega tier support near $7900. I'm expecting a big bounce similar to $6400 by $7900s if price doesn't hold here or at $8200,” Rager said.

A continuous pullback in the bitcoin market could breach large supports and trigger a steep correction heading into March, or lead buyers to respond with large buying demand to attempt to reverse the short-term trend of BTC.

The majority of data points signal that a large price movement in the upcoming week is imminent, and the response of bitcoin to critical levels including $7,900 and $8,300 will decide the near-term trend of bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market.

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About the author

Joseph Young is an analyst based in South Korea that has been covering finance, fintech, and cryptocurrency since 2013. He has worked with various recognized publications in both the finance and cryptocurrency industries.