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A total of 72.28% of traders holding open XRP positions on Binance Futures are betting on the price going up. That is according to Ali Martinez, a crypto analyst who has been keeping a close eye on the numbers.
While that kind of optimism might feel like a good thing - like everyone is in on the next big move - it is worth asking whether this much bullishness is actually a red flag. Because sometimes, when everyone’s leaning one way, the market has a funny habit of doing the exact opposite.
Think about it this way: if nearly three-quarters of traders are already positioned for gains, who is left to buy in and push the price higher?
Markets thrive on balance, and when sentiment gets too lopsided, it does not take much to tip the scales. A few people taking profits, a bit of panic selling and suddenly that overwhelming optimism can flip into something a lot less cheerful. It is not a guarantee, but it is a pattern that has played out more than a few times in crypto.
Now, to be fair, XRP has been doing alright lately. Over the past week, it is up 4.2%, which is better than the global crypto market’s 3.9% gain and even beats out other big names in the Coinbase 50 Index.
But here’s the catch: trading volume has dropped by 17.2% in the last 24 hours, down to $1,897,499,749. That is not nothing. Lower volume often means less conviction, like the market’s taking a breather or waiting to see what happens next.
At $2.41, XRP is holding steady for now. But with so many people betting on the upside and trading activity slowing down, it is hard not to wonder if this is the calm before a shift.
Crypto markets have a way of humbling the overconfident trader, and right now, confidence in XRP is running high. Maybe too high.