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Odds of Ethereum ETF Approval Surge: Analysts

Fri, 08/04/2023 - 16:46
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Alex Dovbnya
The likelihood of Ethereum futures ETFs receiving approval has risen to 75%, mirroring the odds given to Bitcoin futures ETFs last year, as per ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas
Odds of Ethereum ETF Approval Surge: Analysts
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The odds of approval for Ethereum futures ETFs have jumped to 75%, according to a recent note by ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas. This is the same rate they attributed to Bitcoin futures ETFs in September 2021.

Meanwhile, the number of applications for Ethereum and Bitcoin futures ETFs has increased to twelve, thanks in part to recent submissions by Bitwise, a top firm in the field of index and beta cryptocurrency funds.

Cryptocurrency futures ETFs provide investors with exposure to cryptocurrency futures contracts rather than offering direct investment in the mercurial asset class.

Double Trouble: 2x Bitcoin ETF Gets Axed
The first bitcoin-linked exchange-traded fund (ETF) from ProShares, which tracks the bitcoin futures market made its debut in October 2021. It helped to revive the Bitcoin bull run after marking a significant regulatory milestone for the cryptocurrency industry.

Despite not allowing investors to buy crypto directly, this futures-based ETF could pave the way for the approval of spot ETFs in the future.

Is a Bitcoin spot ETF about to get approved? 

It is worth mentioning that Seyffart and Balchunas have also revised the approval odds for a spot Bitcoin ETF upwards to 65% from 50% a few weeks ago.

The increased likelihood of Bitcoin ETF approval is influenced by SEC Chairman Gary Gensler's potentially more receptive stance and strategic moves by leading crypto investment firms like Grayscale and BlackRock

The first leveraged Bitcoin ETF 

On a historic note, the SEC greenlighted the first leveraged Bitcoin ETF last month. This trailblazing product has attracted a tide of over $4 million in trading volume during the first day, with approximately half a million dollars worth of shares being scooped up within the first quarter of an hour.

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About the author

Alex Dovbnya (aka AlexMorris) is a cryptocurrency expert, trader and journalist with extensive experience of covering everything related to the burgeoning industry — from price analysis to Blockchain disruption. Alex authored more than 1,000 stories for U.Today, CryptoComes and other fintech media outlets. He’s particularly interested in regulatory trends around the globe that are shaping the future of digital assets, can be contacted at