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"The most confluential" long-term chart was shared by an analyst at Adaptive Capital, Murad Mahmudov, who recently purchased Bitcoin at approximately $17,800, while the market was in panic mode.
New way of looking at BTC
The chart provided by Mahmudov is somewhat unique as it compares Bitcoin to USD divided by the sum of the U.S. money supply and the dollarized European money supply. The chart provides more insight into Bitcoin's movement as it is being compared to money supply aggregates.
The most confluential long-term chart I've found in all of crypto.
— Murad (@MustStopMurad) June 22, 2022
BTC Measured in USD divided by the sum of US M3 Supply and EU (dollarized) M3 Money Supply.
In other words, adjusting the BTC price action by the expansion of the widest money supply aggregates.
Think about it. pic.twitter.com/X5869ptIJi
The newly formed chart suggests that Bitcoin is reaching a major bottom for the fourth time. Previously, the BTC to monetary supply chart worked perfectly, predicting almost every bounce and top starting from 2014.
The new price model predicted a global bottom in 2013, 2015 and 2020 and global tops in 2014, 2018 and 2021. In addition to global tops and bottoms, the chart shows pre-global version reversal points, which suggests that Bitcoin has all the chances to rise above the most recent $69,000 ATH.
Price models are becoming less relevant
Unfortunately, price models the crypto market used back in the development era of the industry are not as relevant as before, especially after seeing the stock-to-flow model failing to catch up with Bitcoin's most recent movements.
Previously, the creator of the second biggest cryptocurrency on the market, Vitalik Buterin, expressed his concerns over following various price models on the cryptocurrency market as they have lost their relevance.
The newly presented price model for Bitcoin has also faced a lot of criticism and was even called a "cope" since overall market sentiment remains negative after the cryptocurrency lost more than 70% of its value.
Alex Dovbnya
Gamza Khanzadaev
