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Bitcoin (BTC) Correlation With NASDAQ Rises Over Years: Possible Reason

Fri, 06/04/2021 - 09:59
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Vladislav Sopov
The correlation between the prices of the flagship cryptocurrency, NASDAQ and S&P 500 rates rocket, here's why
Bitcoin (BTC) Correlation With NASDAQ Rises Over Years: Possible Reason
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Lennix Lai, director of top-tier cryptocurrency exchange OKEx, shared an infographic to display the correlation between the prices of Bitcoin (BTC), Gold (XAU), the NASDAQ and S&P 500 dynamics.

High-growth tech stock

According to Mr. Lai, the correlation between the three indicators has increased over the years. Q1, 2020, was the watershed moment: the correlation of the Bitcoin (BTC) price with the NASDAQ and S&P 500 indexes spiked.

Over the years, #Bitcoin is getting more positively correlated with Nasdaq - a sign for institutional adoption. People are trading bitcoin as a high-growth tech stock.

— Lennix Lai (OKEx) (@LennixOkex) June 3, 2021

Meanwhile, the correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold (XAU) also increased but not so dramatically. That is why Mr. Lai is certain that people treat Bitcoin (BTC) and Gold (XAU) as different sorts of investments.

For many people, Bitcoin (BTC) evolved into a "high-growth tech stock" as they are trading it this way: the BTC/NASDAQ correlation jumped to 0.6 in Q2, 2020, while the BTC/S&P 500 correlation printed a record in Q3, 2020.

Thus, the most popular narrative of Bitcoin (BTC) maximalists, the "Digital Gold" narrative, should be reconsidered, according to the chart shared by the OKEx director.

When correlation matters

Many analysts and researchers attempted to explain the correlation between Bitcoin (BTC), Gold (XAU) and stocks. Analysts at Skew are certain that Bitcoin (BTC) is still correlated with Gold (XAU).

Realized Correlation Between Bitcoin and Gold Reach 1-Year High, Showing Optimism

Analyst Charles Edwards at Capriole Investments describes two situations. As markets are captured by either extreme fear or extreme greed, Bitcoin (BTC) is correlated to stocks. While the dust settles, the correlation vanishes.

The turbulent Q1, 2020, proved that Mr. Edwards' theory is valid for the ongoing stage of Bitcoin (BTC) progress.

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About the author

Blockchain Analyst & Writer with scientific background. 6+ years in IT-analytics, 3+ years in blockchain.

Worked in independent analysis as well as in start-ups (, Monoreto, Attic Lab etc.)