*** Please note the analysis below is not investment advice. The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of U.Today. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Bitcoin rejected from the strong crossing area
Wednesday’s price action probably gave us a reversal opportunity — on the daily chart, we are in the big Triangle! The bottom trendline has drawn from June 24; the upper trendline has drawn from July 25.
The upper trendline is not as precise as the bottom one, but still, it touches several wicks and plays an important role in the price action scenario.
The triangle can make a breakout in either direction, so as of now, it doesn’t matter whether it is an ascending, descending or symmetrical triangle, it all will depend on confirmations.
We had a pretty low volume days before this week, and this triangle — the triangle tip, to be precise — could be the reason why the price starts rising. The price is pretty close to the tip, and if it is, then it could make very big moves.
Since June 24, we have very clear higher lows indicating that buyers don’t want to see lower prices, and after the drop, they always start to buy higher than previously. That’s exactly what happened yesterday. On the daily chart, we’ve got a nice rejection from the triangle trendline which acts as a strong support level. After the rejection, the price bounced quickly upwards, and after the daily candle close, it formed a bullish candlestick pattern called Engulfing.
This Engulfing indicates that we might see a continuation move upwards, and also, the histogram starts to climb up, and a possible continuation move should happen.
Yesterday’s four-hour chart
The Wednesday’s rejection came from a very strong and surprisingly wide area — because of the bear trap and a sudden spike upwards with the big volume inside the candles on the H1 timeframe. It touches and bounced upwards from:
The strong support area at $6,250.
The triangle bottom trendline, which is also the major counter trendline (plus, the close was above some minor counter trendlines).
The major down-trendline.
Those three made a very strong crossing area between $6,250 and $6,320; luckily, buyers were alerted and reacted quickly to push the price above the mentioned levels.
Current action on the 15-minute chart
Yesterday, after the pump upwards, we got our continuation move, and it found a resistance from a strong resistance area at $6,460 (it is shown on the picture above).
Currently, after yesterday’s breakout from the Bull Flag, it makes a throwback into the Bull Flag retest area; plus, there are several price action criteria that could support the move upwards to continue with another wave to the higher levels.
Technical criteria for the bounce from the current price zone are:
Fibonacci golden pocket 62–65 percent.
The Bull Flag retest area.
Different lower timeframe EMA’s, 100 and 200, working as the supports (15 min, 30 min, 1H).
Near one of the counter-trendlines which should act as a support.
So, if we got a bounce from the current level, then the first stronger resistance is still the triangle upper trendline, but if this move upwards is powerful enough to push the price and get a close above the triangle trendline, the strong resistance at $6,460 and the round number $6,500, then it would be on the bullish area ready to make higher highs on the further days or weeks.