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The most recent volume data makes it impossible to overlook Ethereum’s structurally risky situation. A 34% decline in 24-hour trading volume is not a neutral cooldown, rather, it is an obvious indication that participation is declining at a time when ETH needs conviction the most. Although the price is currently in the $2,900-$3,000 range, the true story is that liquidity is rapidly declining.
Ethereum is not comfortable
Ethereum is still trapped below important moving averages on the price chart. The 200-day EMA is uncomfortably close above price, while the 50-day and 100-day EMAs have rolled over and are serving as dynamic resistance. Because of this compression, ETH is exposed. If this bounce fails, it could be a sign of a more significant trend change rather than a straightforward correction.
This view is supported by the RSI, which is in the low to mid-40s. It is not oversold enough to push buyers in, but it is weak enough to indicate that momentum has stopped. Because it comes after a prior volume spike that was mostly bearish, the volume collapse is particularly worrisome.
Forced activity, such as liquidations, panic exits and aggressive short positioning, was reflected in that earlier surge. Now that the volume is declining, it appears that sellers have already done their harm, but buyers have never materialized to take their place.
Low volume, low bids and a slow bleed are why markets decline without much drama. Data on derivatives supports this image. Even though the structure is deteriorating, traders are still leaning bullish because long/short ratios continue to be skewed toward longs. If the price falls below $2,850-$2,800, that imbalance increases the possibility of another flush.
Market stabilization chances
From the standpoint of an investor, blind dip-buying is not appropriate at this time. To stabilize its market position, Ethereum needs a significant volume rebound, not just green candles, but consistent participation. Any bounce in the absence of that is probably corrective rather than the beginning of a recovery.
The volume determines what happens next. The damage can still be contained if ETH can recover between $3,050 and $3,100 with increasing volume. If not, a more serious breakdown is made possible by the current low volume environment. Although this is not yet a cause for alarm, it is a warning sign, and it would be foolish to ignore it.
Dan Burgin
Vladislav Sopov
U.Today Editorial Team