Advertisement
AD

Strategy to Surpass Satoshi in Bitcoin Holdings Within 2 Years, Predicts Galaxy Head of Research Alex Thorn

Thu, 23/04/2026 - 16:02
Strategy (MSTR) now holds more BTC than BlackRock's IBIT. Based on Alex Thorn's latest Galaxy Research analysis, the firm is on track to surpass Satoshi Nakamoto's 1.1M BTC holdings by late 2026.
Advertisement
Strategy to Surpass Satoshi in Bitcoin Holdings Within 2 Years, Predicts Galaxy Head of Research Alex Thorn
Cover image via U.Today

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed by our writers are their own and do not represent the views of U.Today. The financial and market information provided on U.Today is intended for informational purposes only. U.Today is not liable for any financial losses incurred while trading cryptocurrencies. Conduct your own research by contacting financial experts before making any investment decisions. We believe that all content is accurate as of the date of publication, but certain offers mentioned may no longer be available.

Google

Strategy (MSTR), under the leadership of Michael Saylor, has now officially secured its position as the largest Bitcoin holder in the world, surpassing the flagship ETF from BlackRock (IBIT). The only remaining, almost mythical barrier is the wallets of Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto.

Advertisement

According to the latest report from Alex Thorn at Galaxy Research, the balance of power in the Bitcoin ecosystem has shifted dramatically. Following an aggressive buying streak in mid-April, with over 34,000 BTC acquired in a single week, Strategy has accumulated 815,061 BTC. By comparison, IBIT currently holds 806,178 BTC.

End of the Satoshi era?

With Satoshi Nakamoto's holdings, often referred to as the "Patoshi pattern", estimated at 1.096 million BTC, analysis from Galaxy Research suggests that the question is no longer whether Strategy can surpass the Bitcoin creator, but when it will happen.

HOT Stories
Ripple Prints $49 Million RLUSD as 'North Star' XRP Seeks Buyers Support; Shiba Inu (SHIB) Achieves Key Coinbase-Focused ETF Listing; Bitcoin Price Maintains $96,600 Outlook Amid Oil Spike on Hyperliquid - Morning Crypto Report Fundstrat Boss Backs $250,000 Target for ETH
Article image
Satoshi vs. IBIT vs. Strategy in cumulative unspent BTC holding by entity, Source: Alex Thorn via Galaxy Research

In the optimistic scenario, if Strategy maintains the pace of the last 30 days, around 1,765 BTC per day, it could surpass Satoshi as early as September 2026. A more moderate scenario, based on average accumulation rates this year, points to November 2026.

Advertisement

You Might Also Like

Even in the case of a sharp slowdown, Thorn's linear projection indicates April 2028 as the outer limit.

Strategy has evolved from a simple equity holder into a kind of "digital state". With its current reserves, the company controls nearly 4% of Bitcoin's total supply, making its influence on the market more significant than that of any existing fund or government. Some market participants already see this as a different kind of risk.

Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement
Subscribe to daily newsletter

Recommended articles

Our social media
There's a lot to see there, too