Arbitrum (ARB) Could Be 'Hidden Gem,' and Reasons Are Not So Simple

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Fri, 12/29/2023 - 01:00
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The race to an effective scaling has highlighted certain networks that could become pivotal players in the upcoming phase of the Ethereum ecosystem's growth. Among these, Arbitrum stands out as a potential "hidden gem," with implications that extend far beyond the usual market dynamics.

Ethereum, often regarded as the incumbent blockchain for decentralized applications, has been described as a "beta play" in the industry. This term suggests that investing in Ethereum is a bet on the future potential of the technology, rather than its current utility. Ethereum is seen as the foundational layer, undergoing extensive development to fully realize its capabilities. However, this focus on Ethereum often overshadows the layers built upon it, such as layer-2 solutions like Arbitrum.

ARB/BTC Chart by TradingView

Arbitrum, alongside Optimism and other layer-2 solutions, is poised to be the main beneficiary of the burgeoning surge in the Ethereum ecosystem. With Ethereum's scaling being an urgent issue, the spotlight on L2s has intensified. These platforms are designed to alleviate congestion on the main Ethereum network by processing transactions off-chain while still maintaining the security guarantees of Ethereum itself.

The recent post by Vitalik Buterin, highlighting the progress of Arbitrum One as it reaches stage-1 rollup status, underscores the critical role Arbitrum could play. This milestone signifies a fully functional proof system, and the ability for external participants to submit fraud proofs, among other advancements. Buterin's optimism for the scaling solution is not without merit, as it represents a leap forward in addressing Ethereum's scaling challenges.

While many consider investments in Ethereum as a bet on broader blockchain technology's future, Arbitrum presents a more niche opportunity. It could rally alongside Ethereum as the network scales, or possibly outpace it in terms of growth. The recent performance of ARB against Bitcoin (ARB/BTC) suggests that the market is beginning to recognize its potential. As Ethereum's layer 2, Arbitrum's success is closely tied to that of Ethereum, but it may offer disproportionate gains due to its specific role in scaling and its current undervaluation.

Shiba Inu in tough spot, again

Shiba Inu is at a crossroads as it teeters on a pivotal price level. After a recent uptrend that saw the token climb sharply, traders and enthusiasts alike are now pondering whether SHIB will continue its ascent or succumb to a correction that could add another zero to its price.

The chart reveals SHIB's recent price action, characterized by a significant uptrend. However, this rise has been quite steep, indicating a potential overextension. In trading, such amplitude often precedes a correction, as assets seldom move in one direction for an extended period without some reversion to the mean. The crypto market, known for its volatility, especially with assets as speculative as meme coins, is no exception.

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Analyzing the chart, SHIB has been following an upward trendline, with its price above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a bullish signal for many traders. Yet, the price is now approaching these averages, which could act as support levels in a downturn or signify resistance in an uptrend continuation. Moreover, the volume has shown a notable decrease during the uptrend, which can sometimes signal a lack of conviction among buyers and may foreshadow a downturn.

However, it is important to keep in mind that legacy meme coins like SHIB are facing stiff competition from newer entrants, particularly those on the Solana blockchain, which have posted massive gains and attracted significant attention. This shift in investor focus could impact SHIB's ability to rally as it once did.

Considering the price surge of meme coins on Solana, it is clear that the meme coin sector is evolving, with newer coins potentially offering greater returns due to their novelty and smaller market caps. For SHIB, maintaining its relevance and price momentum may require more than just meme appeal; it could depend on the coin's ability to integrate more use cases and gain exposure to the DeFi market.