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XRP’s weekly chart just printed a reaction where it matters — at the lower Bollinger Band on a weekly time frame. After plunging to $2.12 in wild October's trading environment, the price finally came to the spot that buyers decided is sweet enough to take the risk. The buying activity at this price point pushed the price of XRP up by 7.69%, suggesting that the first meaningful bottom in weeks may be forming.
XRP is at $2.27 right now and trying to build support within a zone that has previously triggered multi-week reversals.
The short-term structure now mirrors early-May consolidation, when a similar rebound preceded a 45-day run toward $3.10 before stalling against mid-range resistance — a legendary setup XRP traders for sure still remember.
If this push continues, the next clear checkpoints are at $2.80 and $3.48, which are the midpoint and upper boundary of the Bollinger range, respectively. Reaching the first would mean climbing 23%, while a full recovery to the top would mean moving up 53%, returning XRP to levels seen before the late-September decline.
Santa rally for XRP in December 2025
Seasonal data supports this, even though the pattern is not clean. Historically, November has averaged an 80.5% gain for XRP, with several cycles showing strong late-year recoveries. The median remains negative, so rallies do not occur automatically, but the bias for this period tilts upward regardless.
The combination of a confirmed lower-band rebound, lighter downside volume and favorable timing gives the market a reason to expect an upward trend.
Whether that evolves into an actual Santa rally by December depends on how XRP handles resistance near $2.80 — the line separating a technical bounce from a real trend change.
Dan Burgin
Vladislav Sopov
U.Today Editorial Team