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September is traditionally considered the worst month for the crypto market, but XRP appears ready to ignore those concerns. While investors have paused in anticipation of a seasonal downturn, technical analyst Xaif Crypto has revealed a strong historical anomaly: since 2018, XRP has closed the first month of autumn in the green five times versus just three negative closes, maintaining an average return of +12.19%.
The historical data stands in stark contrast to Bitcoin's behavior, as the cryptocurrency usually enters a correction ahead of September. XRP's current resilience is reinforced by rare market synchronization: in the final hours of August, XRP, XLM and Bitcoin simultaneously formed identical weekly setups.
All three assets successfully bounced from their local lows and are now testing key reclaim levels. For XRP, the critical support level is $1.35, while Bitcoin has secured its position at $77,600.
In technical analysis, the synchronized emergence of such patterns right before the start of a new month indicates that major capital is preparing for a strong upward move.
Legislation, major funds and escrow: What could support XRP even if the charts fail
Beyond the charts, the bullish scenario is supported by a strong news backdrop at the end of August:
- ETF inflows: According to SoSoValue, weekly net inflows into spot XRP ETFs reached a record $110.49 million, with assets under management totaling $1.44 billion. Banking giant Goldman Sachs also confirmed in its 13F filing that it holds more than $86 million in XRP ETF positions.
- Political catalyst: A key Senate vote on the CLARITY Act is scheduled for Sept. 15. Its passage would definitively establish XRP's status as a digital commodity and eliminate regulatory risks.
- Escrow unlock: The scheduled release of 1 billion tokens on Sept. 1 is not expected to create pressure on order books, as historically, between 600 million and 800 million XRP are immediately returned to new escrow contracts.
The market's coordinated movement "in lockstep," combined with institutional inflows, creates conditions in which the historical +12.19% pattern could easily play out, completely breaking the bears' pre-September fears.
U.Today Editorial Team
Dan Burgin
