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Multiyear stagnation represents a much greater threat to Bitcoin than price crashes, warns CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju. In his assessment, a deep market drop can easily be endured while waiting for a new rally, but prolonged market "boredom" kills investor faith and completely paralyzes the inflow of fresh capital.
According to Ki Young Ju, the original ideals of cryptocurrency became heavily diluted after the approval of spot ETFs and recognition from U.S. authorities. Bitcoin has turned into an ordinary instrument for financial institutions, and its old narratives have been fully exhausted.
Instead of serving as a hedge against global crises, the cryptocurrency now trades like a regular tech stock. Its early supporters are moving to other projects, while the rapid development of AI has investors seriously fearing the long-term risks of quantum computing.
Furthermore, the new digital credit concepts pushed by Strategy chairman Michael Saylor remain too complex for ordinary people.
So, the bottom line is that without a simple and clear "center of gravity", it will be extremely difficult for Bitcoin to attract the next wave of liquidity.
Record activity fails to wake up a "bored" Bitcoin market
Interestingly, CryptoQuant analysts are recording a unique on-chain paradox right now: while the price of BTC stands completely still, activity inside the blockchain itself is hitting records. For instance, microtransactions of less than 0.01 BTC now account for around 80% of all operations on the network, compared to less than half in 2023.
However, this surge is driven strictly by technical factors rather than an inflow of new money. The CryptoQuant CEO emphasizes that this internal noise does nothing to support price growth; major players are simply sitting idly on the sidelines while the network is used for small-scale speculation.
This prolonged sideways trend is already hitting whale infrastructure. Strategy's constant buying strategy has proven highly vulnerable to the absence of price growth. Amid the current stagnation, the company's STRC preferred stocks collapsed to an all-time low of $85.32, trading 13% below par value.
Ki Young Ju warns that prolonged stagnation compresses the market premium of such assets and breaks Saylor's capital-raising machine. "I'm not asking Saylor to save Bitcoin", the CEO concludes, but warns that if the market does not receive a new narrative impulse soon, the company could face margin calls and be forced to liquidate part of its 846,842 BTC to cover debts.
U.Today Editorial Team
Dan Burgin
