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With the 50-day moving average falling below the 200-day moving average, XRP has formally confirmed a full death cross. This crossover, which indicates the point at which medium-term selling surpasses long-term accumulation, is not symbolic; rather, it signifies a genuine change in trend momentum. Death crosses on XRP typically define directional bias for a few weeks, but they do not always result in instant capitulation. Additionally, the chart indicates that sellers are once again in the lead.
XRP's heavy ceiling
The 50-day, 100-day and 200-day MAs are now converging into a heavy ceiling at $2.55-$2.60, where the market failed to break above the stacked resistance cluster. XRP was pushed back toward the lower end of its range by the forceful and clear rejection from that region. This demonstrates that rather than being accumulated, even brief rallies are being sold.

Three realistic downside targets, each connected to prior liquidity levels and structural reactions on the chart, become apparent once the death cross is finalized.
Three key levels
Immediate support zone: $2.20. This is where XRP is most likely to pause and the closest significant level. Over the past two weeks, the market has bounced here several times, indicating that buyers are still defending it. Expect another consolidation range prior to any deeper trend move if XRP settles at $2.20 once more.
AdvertisementPsychological and structural support at $2: A tidy round-number level consistent with late-summer consolidation. This will become the next obvious target if the death cross keeps driving the market lower. If no new negative catalysts emerge, a retest of $2.00 would flush weak hands and likely start a liquidity sweep, which frequently precedes a stronger rebound.
The high-risk capitulation zone is $1.80. This is the level of bearish extension that was determined by the October breakdown. Liquidity pools fall below $1.85-$1.80 if the market loses its $2.00 base. Reaching that range — which had not been reached since the summer rally — would indicate a complete reversal of the trend. The death cross transfers the burden of proof to the bulls, but none of these scenarios ensure a sustained collapse. To counteract the downward pressure that is currently ingrained in the chart, XRP needs a powerful catalyst, such as ETF approvals, regulatory clarity or a wider market pivot.
Dan Burgin
Vladislav Sopov
U.Today Editorial Team