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XRP, serving as the "North Star" in Ripple's ecosystem, is now one step away from breaking through the psychological $1.50 threshold. The main driver behind the impulse is an unprecedented reduction in freely available market supply.
According to SoSoValue, U.S. spot ETFs alone have reached a historic milestone, locking away 1.34% of XRP's total circulating supply in custody. Over the past 24 hours, net inflows into U.S. XRP ETFs totaled $18.52 million, while trading volume reached $46.78 million.
Since the launch of these products in late 2025, cumulative capital inflows have climbed to $1.37 billion, while total assets under management (AUM) have stabilized at $1.25 billion.
It is evident that Wall Street's fundamental confidence is being reinforced by the Senate Banking Committee's approval of the CLARITY Act, as well as Ripple's successful pilot project involving the settlement of tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) in collaboration with JPMorgan and Mastercard.
Charting the path to $3.50 for XRP
From another flank of the crypto market, on-chain metrics point to an unprecedented concentration of capital. Wallets holding balances of 10 million XRP or more have reached an 8-year accumulation high of 45.83 billion tokens, meaning this investor cohort now controls 68.5% of the total circulating supply.
The combination of aggressive institutional demand and strict long-term holding by large players has created a classic supply squeeze across XRP exchanges. According to the latest XRP price outlook:
- Nearest trigger ($1.50–$1.55): The local high has been established at $1.54974. A confirmed breakout above this zone would validate an exit from the prolonged correction phase.
- Mid-term target ($2.038): This level aligns with the middle Bollinger Band (20 SMA). Consolidation above it would return XRP to a global bullish trend structure.
- Macro target ($3.28–$3.50): The upper Bollinger Band currently stands at $3.28140. If the supply squeeze intensifies, this historical extreme could become the primary target for a parabolic upside move.
- Defensive support zone ($0.795): The lower Bollinger Band at $0.79507 continues to act as solid support that previously stopped the decline.
With nearly 70% of all XRP locked on whale-controlled addresses, while regulated funds continue systematically removing another 1.34% of supply from circulation, even a single large market order could turn the $1.50 level into a launchpad for a rally toward higher mid-term targets.
Dan Burgin
U.Today Editorial Team
