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The Shiba Inu token (SHIB) has found itself at a unique point by mid-June 2026, where deep oversold conditions after a prolonged decline create a mathematical possibility of completely reshaping the global cryptocurrency ranking by CoinMarketCap.
At the heart of this scenario is what traders call "mean reversion" - a simple trading strategy in which an asset falls so deeply that, at a certain point, a short squeeze occurs and the price starts moving back toward its key long-term benchmarks.
In the case of SHIB, this refers to the 200-week moving average lines and the Point of Control (POC) - the main level of maximum trading volume.
Right now, the coin ranks only 29th on CoinMarketCap, with a market capitalization of $2.93 billion, but the massive deviation from historical levels is exactly what sets the stage for this kind of technical jump. Assuming the rest of the market stands still, the roadmap for this mean reversion is divided into two clear stages.
Where SHIB's technical rebound could lead: A breakdown of two cases
As of right now, the market structure opens up two precise paths for the Shiba Inu coin's recovery:
- The $3.87 billion case (daily chart): A short-term return to the 200-day price curve and the daily POC. SHIB's market capitalization rises to $3.87 billion, lifting the coin to 24th place in the global ranking and flipping its first five competitors: Avalanche, NEAR Protocol, Sui, Litecoin, and Hedera.
- The $7.37 billion case (weekly chart): A macro shift toward the 200-week moving average and the weekly Point of Control, testing the strongest volume levels since 2021. In this case, SHIB jumps to $7.37 billion, pushing the token straight to 14th place, overtaking Cardano, Toncoin, Monero, and Chainlink, while also moving past Canton CC to land directly behind Stellar.
Among the drivers that may launch the roadmap for Shiba Inu's jump into the top 14, the first to come to mind is investment giant T. Rowe Price, which filed an application to register a spot multi-crypto ETF that also includes an allocation to SHIB. This inflow of institutional capital could create the necessary liquidity imbalance on exchanges for the Shiba Inu coin.
U.Today Editorial Team
Dan Burgin
