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TL;DR
- XRP gains support at long-term 200-week MA near $1.42.
- BTC briefly prints $47,511 on Lighter after a 1,000 BTC mistaken order, no liquidations.
- USDCx on Cardano records 111 testnet transactions ahead of pending launch.
XRP: 200-week moving average becomes support again
If you check out the weekly XRP/USD chart on TradingView, you will see that the price is currently around $1.4434, with this week's range between $1.3140 and $1.4950. The 200-week moving average is at $1.4196, and XRP is back above that threshold.
The 200-week MA is a popular way to spot long-term trends. When the price trades below it, the overall structure is usually seen as weakening. When the price bounces back and stays above that level on a weekly basis, it often indicates that the long-term positioning is back on solid ground.
Right now, XRP is trying to turn that level from resistance back into support. The big technical question is whether weekly closes stay above $1.42. If this holds, chances are the price of XRP will keep going toward the next resistance at around $1.60.
On the downside, if XRP does not hold the 200-week MA, the odds are increasing of hitting the $1.11 area first, followed by the $1 zone, where an early February sell-off marked local capitulation around $0.9968.
Bitcoin: Trader's typo leads to $47,511 BTC flash crash on Lighter
While Bitcoin is trading near $68,072 on Binance, a separate event on the Lighter platform briefly dropped BTC to $47,511.
What first seemed like systemic liquidation pressureturned out to be a trader reportedly placing a 1,000 BTC sell order at 47,511 instead of 67,511. About 1,100 BTC in total pressure swept through the order book, and about 400 BTC were executed near the wrong price before bots and arbitrage participants absorbed the liquidity.
It is important to note that there were not any liquidations that caused a chain reaction. However, the financial impact for the unlucky trader is estimated at around $8 million based on the difference between the intended and executed price levels.
This was not a crash across multiple exchanges but isolated to a specific platform. Nonetheless, the event shows how important it is to be careful when planning events in smaller venues. In low-depth order books, large market-impact orders can create extreme short-term price prints without affecting the Bitcoin market as a whole.
Cardano: USDC on Cardano scores first 100 transactions on testnet
Circle's USDCx stablecoin on Cardano has now surpassed 100 transactions on the testnet. According to Cexplorer data, the total transaction count is currently at 111.
These numbers show active testing, not passive deployment. If there is a lot of minting activity over a period of a few days, it points to ongoing infrastructure validation, including issuance, transfers and cross-chain mechanics. And of course, soon, launch.
The token registry shows that USDCx is designed as a Cardano Native Asset that can be redeemed at a rate of 1:1 for USDC through Circle's infrastructure. Right now, it looks like the focus is on getting things operational, with teams doing transaction testing before the mainnet activation expected in the coming days.
What's important is what comes next. If the mainnet rollout goes well, it will let us integrate more deeply into Cardano-based DeFi protocols and centralized exchange liquidity pools. For now, the data shows technical readiness progress, not immediate capital inflow.
Crypto market outlook: XRP, ADA, BTC
Overall, the market shows price chart stabilization in XRP, resilience in Bitcoin despite localized execution errors and infrastructure progress on Cardano. The next directional moves will depend on confirmation through weekly closes, liquidity depth and mainnet deployment timelines.
Key levels to watch:
XRP: Trading around $1.44 and holding above the 200-week moving average near $1.42, with resistance at $1.60 and downside risk toward $1.11 if weekly support fails.
BTC: Consolidating near $68,072 after a venue-specific drop to $47,511 on Lighter, with immediate resistance between $68,223 and $68,368.
ADA: Trading around $0.291 following a pullback from the $0.31 area, with the price likely reacting more decisively once USDCx moves from testnet to mainnet.
Dan Burgin
Vladislav Sopov
