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The XRP market has entered a phase of abnormal calm that may force traders to revisit charts from two years ago. The current consolidation within a narrow corridor around $1.40 visually mirrors the famous 2022–2024 sideways phase, when the coin drifted without a clear trend for at least 900 days.
On the weekly chart by TradingView, the cyclical analogy is clearly visible. The previous accumulation cycle lasted 915 days (from May 2022 to November 2024), and after explosive growth at the turn of 2024 and 2025, the XRP price has "compressed" once again.
If history repeats itself with mathematical precision, investors may have to wait until August 2028 for the next volatility explosion.
At the moment, XRP is trapped within a range with lower support at $1.30 and resistance at $1.50. Volatility remains at multi-month lows, prompting the question whether this calm is a sign of accumulation or market apathy.
3 catalysts that could end XRP's 'hibernation' early
Still, three factors that were not present two years ago could interrupt the 900-day drift much earlier than 2028:
- Unlike in 2022, price is now supported by active inflows into spot XRP ETFs. This creates a "liquidity cushion" that prevents the price from falling sharply, but also limits aggressive speculative spikes.
- The expected vote on the CLARITY bill at the end of May could become the exact trigger that was missing during previous accumulation periods.
- The Bollinger Bands squeeze on the weekly timeframe has reached critical levels. Historically, such periods of "anti-volatility" end with a powerful impulse rather than a multi-year drift.
Although the chart hints at a possible "hibernation" until 2028, the current news backdrop is far denser than it was in 2022. The key signal for an exit from the accumulation cycle would be a confident breakout and hold above $1.55 per XRP.
Until then, the market will likely continue trading under conditions of low volatility.
Dan Burgin
U.Today Editorial Team
