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Dogecoin may be displaying one of its strongest sentiment signals in recent weeks, despite months of ongoing weakness. Derivatives traders seem to be positioning for a recovery, with long positions significantly outnumbering short positions across major exchanges, even though the meme coin is still stuck in a larger downtrend on the price chart. Current market data indicates that Dogecoin's long-to-short ratio is clearly favoring bulls.
Exchange flow is complimentary to Dogecoin
OKX traders are even more aggressive, keeping a ratio close to 3.5-to-1, whereas Binance accounts show about 2.5 longs for every short position. There are still over three bullish positions for every bearish one among Binance's top traders.
When considered collectively, the data indicates that both retail and professional traders are favoring a positive outcome for DOGE, resulting in what is essentially a market with four bulls for every bear. The chart itself tells a story of caution. The 200-day moving average is still much higher than the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, and DOGE is still trading below these major moving averages.
Selling pressure dwindles
This indicates that buyers have not yet benefited from the long-term trend. But price movement in the vicinity of $0.07 has grown more significant. After a protracted sell-off, Dogecoin has recently recovered from local lows and begun to stabilize. Additionally, the RSI has begun to recover from oversold conditions, suggesting that selling pressure may be lessening.
The discrepancy between sentiment and price is what makes the current setup intriguing. Despite the lack of technical confirmation, traders are positioning for gains. Such circumstances may occasionally precede significant breakouts if buyers are able to push the price above key resistance zones around $0.08 and later $0.09.
Crowded bullish positions also increase risk. Heavily leveraged long positions may be liquidated if DOGE is unable to maintain support and starts to decline, which would accelerate downside volatility.
Dan Burgin
U.Today Editorial Team
