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Why XRP Holders Shouldn't Expect Rally Anytime Soon, Glassnode Breaks Down

Tue, 9/06/2026 - 15:57
Fresh Glassnode data reveals how crashing fee metrics are suppressing any near-term rally hopes for XRP.
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Why XRP Holders Shouldn't Expect Rally Anytime Soon, Glassnode Breaks Down
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After studying fresh on-chain data for June 2026, Glassnode analysts have come to a discouraging conclusion - XRP Ledger, the blockchain with the native token of the same name, is going through a severe hangover after a speculative boom of 2025.

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Experts are recording an alarming combination as organic demand within the network has almost disappeared, while the market has entered a capitulation phase, dragging the asset's market value down with it. The main marker of this pressure is the realized profit and loss indicator (90D-SMA), which has collapsed to 0.38. 

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XRP realized profit/loss ratio, Source: Glassnode

This means that for every dollar of realized losses, there are now only 38 cents of realized profits.

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Compared with last year, when XRP was updating multi-year price records, the picture has turned into a mirror image. Back then, profit-taking exceeded loss-making sales by 50 times.

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Now, amid a prolonged decline in prices, the market is overloaded with loss-making transactions. As a result, XRP's structure has become structurally fragile, with about 41.5% of the entire circulating supply, or 26.5 billion coins, now "underwater", while the share of profitable addresses has contracted to 58.5%.

No demand, no fuel for XRP

Most of those moving coins right now against the backdrop of a falling price chart entered the market too late and are now being forced to close positions at a loss. What makes the situation even worse is that XRP is simultaneously losing its fundamental support: the network is emptying at a record pace.

The average daily volume of fees paid (90D-SMA) has fallen from 5,900 XRP in February 2025 to a symbolic 500 XRP today. Glassnode's charts clearly show this alarming decoupling: while the coin's price is trying to avoid a full collapse, the volume of network fees is already effectively lying "on the floor".

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Total transaction fees on XRP Ledger, Source: Glassnode

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A 91.5% loss is not a technical optimization of fees, but a sign of a large-scale user exodus after the speculative hype faded, Glassnode concludes.

In the final analysis, XRP holders are trapped. From above, the price is being pressured by a giant overhang of loss-making positions ready to sell into any rebound. From below, there is no network activity capable of pushing prices higher.

Under such conditions, counting on a quick trend reversal is a scenario that directly contradicts the hard numbers of the blockchain.

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