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Bitcoin Cash, Binance Coin, Stellar, NEO – Weekly Price Prediction and Forecasts
Bitcoin Cash, Binance Coin, Stellar, NEO – Weekly Price Prediction and Forecasts

Market in Free Fall: Bitcoin Drags Monero and Ripple Down, Panic Sales Hurt Litecoin

  • Daniel Osten
    📈 Price Predictions

    BTC dominance is not increasing and remains at 44.5 percent. Perhaps we are seeing a new logic in the market.

Market in Free Fall: Bitcoin Drags Monero and Ripple Down, Panic Sales Hurt Litecoin
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On Monday, uncertainty was already turning into a full-fledged downtrend, and by the beginning of Tuesday bears achieved a decisive victory. For all currency pairs that we examined yesterday, decline targets were fulfilled and in some cases even overshot — fear prevailed over investor’s greed, and a wave of panic sales washed over the market, coloring almost all positions red.

Surprising exceptions to the fall

We said “almost all positions” because some altcoins are not just resisting — they are actively marching against the market. Among these are Verge (XVG), Ontology (ONT) and 0x (ZRX). All of these coins are promising, and the growth of XVG is aided by news about a mysterious partnership, but this is the first time we are seeing such a departure from correlation with the underlying asset.

BTC dominance stable as market capitalization falls. A new trend?

Overall, the market lost $30 bln over 24 hours. At the time of writing, capitalization is about $300 bln. It’s notable that as the market falls, BTC dominance is not increasing and remains at 44.5 percent. Perhaps we are seeing a new logic in the market, but a longer period of observation is needed before drawing any conclusions.

BTC/USD

On Monday, the bears didn’t have much trouble reaching $8,000, using the momentum to lower the price even further to $7,850, the boundary of the descending channel. Realizing the precariousness of their situation, buyers tried to support the asset, which led to a rebound to the level of $8,280.

BTC dominance is not increasing and remains at 44.5 percent

It seemed that the catastrophe was avoided, but another bear attack returned the price to the previous minimum, where the struggle between buyers and sellers continued. The outcome of the battle will define the market’s fate. Either we will see a reversal, with the first recovery targets being $8,450 and $8,600, or Bitcoin price will dive toward the bottom to test the lower boundary of the ascending channel and then, the $7,250 minimum of the March correction with an intermediate stop at $7,650.

LTC/USD

The behavior of Litecoin turned out to be an unpleasant surprise. During the weekend, the asset was looking very well compared to other coins, but on Monday the most negative scenario was realized — the downward break through the triangle. As a result, the price went straight down for the boundary of the ascending channel and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement to the level of $145.

the price went straight down for the boundary of the ascending channel and the 0.786

Then, we watched the medium-term LTC investor’s nightmare unfold: after a slight rebound, the price came further down and is $140 at the time of writing, almost reaching the minimum of the March correction. If the last support at $137, which also corresponds to the boundary of the descending channel, fails to hold, Litecoin will dive for the level of $130. In case of a reversal, the former support will become a resistance and the bulls will have to attack that same level of $145 again.

XMR/USD

Monero is looking better than Litecoin, but investors will get little relief from this fact. Overall, the price is behaving predictably. The decline stopped at the level of $188, corresponding to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. Also, XMR retains some margin of safety, since there is another $5 before repeated testing of the descending channel’s boundary.

The decline stopped at the level of $188, corresponding to the 0.786

If the fall continues, the bears’ next target will be $180, and then the price will meet the previous minimum at $175. For now Monero looks stronger than the market, but the situation can change at any moment, as it was with Litecoin, so it's better to refrain from trading.

XRP/USD

Today, Ripple is in the same boat with Litecoin - the outsider boat. In the course of the decline, the price was balanced for a while at $0.58 - the level of the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. However, under tough pressure from Bitcoin, the support could not hold out. The boundary of the descending channel does not instill much confidence either - one sharp downward movement, and the last buyer stronghold will fall.

Ripple is in the same boat with Litecoin - the outsider boat

After this, XRP will experience the acceleration of free fall, because no other supports will be able to help buyers. In the end, we are likely to see the price reach the previous peak of the March correction, $0.53, and quite possibly update it.

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New! Bitcoin Price Prediction: $3,600 BTC Price Is a Very Likely Scenario. When to Invest in Bitcoin (BTC)?

New! Bitcoin Price Prediction: $3,600 BTC Price Is a Very Likely Scenario. When to Invest in Bitcoin (BTC)?
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After trying to retain the position above $4,000, Bitcoin seems to be stuck. What to expect from BTC during the following weeks? What’s the best time to invest in Bitcoin? Let’s try to figure it out with tradingview users: they will provide their BTC price predictions and opinions about investment strategies.

Bitcoin has to break another resistance

Both shortage and resistance breaking are possible for BTC

Bitcoin price chart from DianKemala

This BTC price chart clearly explains the influence of the Fibonacci level on its price. Traders saw a big bearish candle 2 days ago, but bears stopped at $3,936 and started performing a sideways consolidation pattern.

Bitcoin failed to break the Fibonacci resistance zone (4004 - 3986), which isn’t a bullish sign, but we have another resistance above at $4,038. If Bitcoin is able to break up this resistance, the bullish period will continue. The important support before the bearish period is around $3,936. If this support breaks down, expect a bearish target at $3,860, or maximum at $3,780. 

Will BTC get back to $3,600?

$3,600 level is ideal for investments

Bitcoin price chart from MarcPMarkets

We are watching the BTC market trying to overcome 4K resistance level with varying success. According to MarcPMarkets, the current BTC trading environment does not offer an attractive reward/risk for putting any new money to work.

All risks should be properly assessed. The low 4K area is still the range resistance, while the lower 3K area is the range support. In the green box, you can view the potential reward, while the red box represents the potential risk. Why would we put on any new swing trades at range highs when chances are the price is more likely to test much lower levels in the short term? 

Candlesticks or RSI are not the only signals of upcoming BTC fall. The fact that price is beginning to show signs of structural weakness confirms our reasoning that staying out of any new swing trades near the range highs is the best choice for now. Support levels begin around the high 3600s and continue through to the 3450 levels. That might be the ideal time for investments.

Although supply may be slowly removed from the market, it will take some time before the effects play out. So we will continue to wait for two particular scenarios: 1) price retraces toward the lower part of the range for a reversal to go long; or 2) price breaks beyond 4150 and provides a momentum continuation pattern for a long.

BTC is ready for capitulation

 BTC movement is around the corner

Bitcoin price chart from DataPatron

During several months Bitcoin was consolidating in a tight range between $3,300 and $4,400. Now it seems to be completing sideways mission, and long term volatility promises a serious movement that’s around the corner.

I am almost sure another red leg symmetrical to the previous one (from 6 to 3k) is before us.

All in all, Bitcoin is in a broader recovery over the long term, but the short term is just not in a position that offers attractive reward/risk. Consider an investment in BTC, if it hits the $3,600-3,700 bottom line in a few weeks.

BTC/USD price chart on TradingView

Disclaimer: The opinion expressed here is not investment advice – it is provided for informational purposes only. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of U.Today. Every investment and all trading involves risk, so you should always perform your own research prior to making decisions. We do not recommend investing money you cannot afford to lose.

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