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Bitcoin Market Is Getting Better at Hedging Price Risk: Skew

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  • Alex Dovbnya
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    The implied volatility of Bitcoin options has been tanking in tandem with the asset's price

Bitcoin Market Is Getting Better at Hedging Price Risk: Skew
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According to London-based blockchain research boutique Skew, the Bitcoin term structure steepened in the fourth quarter of 2019, which means that the options market is getting more sophisticated when it comes to hedging price risks.

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Bitcoin is becoming less volatile

The asset's implied volatility, an important metric for pricing options contracts, has been dropping ever since the BTC price hitting its year-to-date peak of $13,700 back in June.   

As of now, Bitcoin is also driven by speculators who chase significant gains by betting on the volatile and nascent digital asset. However, BTC is actually becoming more stable. Its realized volatility, which reflects the actual price movement instead of the market's expectations, reached its current peak at the end of December, which coincided with the price massive price rally. Back then, the average daily price change was about 8 percent.      

When Bitcoin's at-the-money implied volatility (ATM IV) dropped below 60 percent for the first time since May, BTC suddenly made a wild upside move that took place on the same day.   

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Bitcoin options market is growing

As Skew pointed out in its 2018 research paper, the curve will continue to steepen when the BTC options market becomes more established. Cryptocurrency miners will remain the main source of buying flows, which is typical for major commodity markets.

As reported by U.Today, ICE-backed Bakkt is expected to launch Bitcoin options on its futures on Dec. 9. CME Group came up with a similar plan -- the Chicago-based futures trading giant will roll out Bitcoin options in Q1 2020.     

Traders are increasingly turning to Bitcoin derivatives, such as options and futures, that can offer higher gains, but they incur significant risks.   

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About the author

Alex Dovbnya (aka AlexMorris) is a cryptocurrency expert, trader and journalist with an extensive experience of covering everything related to the burgeoning industry — from price analysis to Blockchain disruption. Alex authored more than 1,000 stories for U.Today, CryptoComes and other fintech media outlets. He’s particularly interested in regulatory trends around the globe that are shaping the future of digital assets.

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Ethereum’s Vitalik Buterin: Fiat Money Will Not be Destroyed

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  • Vladislav Sopov
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    Vitalik Buterin, Co-Founder of the Ethereum Foundation and “father” of Ethereum, sat down with Eric Weinstein on The Portal podcast to discuss “old” and “new” economics.

Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum: Fiat Money Will Not Be Destroyed
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Two intellectuals, Vitalik Buterin (Creator of Ethereum), and Eric Weinstein (PhD, scientist, and Managing Director at Thiel Capital), recently sat down on The Portal to discuss Mr. Buterin's attitude towards the "classic" economics theory.

Libertarianism and Diversity

When both individuals discussed libertarianism, Vitalik Buterin said that libertarians mostly belong to two large groups characterized as either a "leave me alone'" or "conquer the world" approach. This divergence can be extrapolated into cryptocurrencies in terms of their mass adoption.

Mr. Buterin highlighted that there are participants within the crypto community that are assured that fiat currencies will be destroyed and replaced by Bitcoin (BTC). In general, Mr. Buterin estimated that the prospects of any "short-term disruption" for the sake of some "nebulous long-term gain" is skeptical. He said:

I'm definitely not in the camp that actively relishes that fiat currencies will be destroyed. 

Mr. Buterin added that several members within the Bitcoin community share this belief.

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Peaceful Coexistence

Vitalik Buterin predicts that Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will coexist with fiat money and balance the disadvantages of the classic monetary system. He also added that cryptocurrencies will provide "checks and balances" against a government monopoly on "issuing money" rather than "replacing it entirely".

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Mr. Buterin is well-known as a champion of pluralism in future world of cryptocurrency. He is sure that different communities will defend their views on its development.

Will crypto one day replace fiat money? Tell us your opinion on Twitter.

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About the author

 Blockchain Analyst & Writer with scientific background. 5+ years in IT-analytics, 2+ years in blockhain. Worked in independent analysis (Crypto Briefing) as well as in start-ups (Swap.online, Monoreto, Attic Lab etc.)

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